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John Rector

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Tag: forecasting

A dark teal cover with the title The New Grand Central in gold italics and a faint gold clock face set to noon in the lower right.
Cat Links Artificial Intelligence

The New Grand Central

Posted on October 31, 2026 jsrector

Two strangers who cannot talk still find each other, because some answers are obvious to both. For all of history the obvious answer was made of shared history. AI is about to make it out of a shared machine, and this time the clock has an owner. … readThe New Grand Central

Generative artwork: 3,840 grey dots packed into twelve boxes on the left break free along their own paths into a field of colored lights on the right, and one glowing path is labeled you. Title: The Government of One.
Cat Links Artificial Intelligence

The Government of One: James Talarico Wins on November 7, 2028

Posted on October 29, 2026October 29, 2026 jsrector

James Talarico will be elected President on Tuesday, November 7, 2028, by doing what no modern candidate has done: he will not ask you to join anything. He will make the federal government about you. … readThe Government of One: James Talarico Wins on November 7, 2028

Cover of John Rector's book Every Direction at Once: a burst of cyan and amber rays from one point on a dark grid, with a faint 90 degree mark
Cat Links AI, Artificial Intelligence, Papers

Every Direction at Once

Posted on October 25, 2026 jsrector

A free book on the geometry underneath artificial intelligence: five rules of high-dimensional space that your body never learned, why they make learning possible, and seven predictions about the future they are building. … readEvery Direction at Once

Dark verdigris cover reading The Machine Has Old Taste, with a faint proportional-to symbol in brass at the lower right
Cat Links Artificial Intelligence

The Machine Has Old Taste

Posted on October 25, 2026 jsrector

AI learned what it knows from the written record, and the record is a survivor’s list, so the machine that answers our questions has old taste. Lindy’s Law just got an amplifier, and age is about to become the most valuable thing a business owns. … readThe Machine Has Old Taste

Night-blue cover reading Monday, December 16, 2030, with six horizontal bars on the right showing fast layers nearly full and slow layers nearly empty, a pink line marking the seam between them.
Cat Links Artificial Intelligence

Monday, December 16, 2030

Posted on October 25, 2026October 25, 2026 jsrector

On Monday, December 16, 2030, the street will look almost exactly like today. AI will have remade the fastest layers of civilization and barely touched the slowest, and nearly everything that matters that day will happen at the seams between them. … readMonday, December 16, 2030

Dark cover with the title Two Honest Prices, the figures six thousand dollars and four hundred dollars, and the line: the same work, quoted from two distances — Cantillon's wave is running again.
Cat Links Artificial Intelligence

Two Honest Prices

Posted on October 25, 2026 jsrector

In 1730 Richard Cantillon noticed that new money raises prices from the point where it enters, outward, so whoever spends it first buys at yesterday’s prices. AI capability is entering the economy the same way — and until every market reprices, the same work carries two honest prices. … readTwo Honest Prices

Dark cover with the title The Safety Will Be Spent in serif type, the word Spent in pink italic, above the line: AI is the first net ever strung under thinking itself; fifty years of evidence says we will not pocket it.
Cat Links Artificial Intelligence

The Safety Will Be Spent

Posted on October 24, 2026 jsrector

Fifty years of evidence says people do not pocket safety — they spend it. AI is the first net under thinking itself, so the mistake rate will hold, the mistakes will consolidate, and failures will synchronize. … readThe Safety Will Be Spent

A road-map style diagram of Braess's network: Home, North, South and Work joined by red and blue roads, with a dashed gold shortcut labeled 4/3, beside the title Everyone Finds the Shortcut.
Cat Links Artificial Intelligence

Everyone Finds the Shortcut

Posted on October 23, 2026October 23, 2026 jsrector

In 1968 Dietrich Braess proved that a new road can make every driver slower without anyone making a mistake. Personal AI agents are about to make his theorem the rule for everything we book, reserve and race for. … readEveryone Finds the Shortcut

Dark cover with the Postel robustness principle quoted under the title Delivered as Understood, with a faint oversized OK glyph in the corner
Cat Links Artificial Intelligence

Delivered as Understood

Posted on October 22, 2026 jsrector

The internet runs on a kindness its own architects now regret: be liberal in what you accept. AI is installing that kindness at every boundary between people — so ambiguity no longer bounces where it is cheap. It arrives polished, and surfaces where it is expensive. … readDelivered as Understood

Dark amber cover with the title Slack Is a Forecast, a faint sigma glyph, and the line: every buffer on Earth is sized to the error of a prediction, never to the prediction itself.
Cat Links Artificial Intelligence, Reality Equation

Slack Is a Forecast

Posted on October 21, 2026 jsrector

Every buffer on Earth is sized to the error of a forecast, never to the forecast itself. AI is shrinking that error everywhere at once — and because surprise has a floor the optimizer cannot see, the economy is giving up its spares faster than the reason for them. … readSlack Is a Forecast

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