Prediction Is Becoming Cheap
THE NEXT COST CURVE Prediction is about to get very, very cheap. The arithmetic era did not belong to faster bookkeepers. It belonged to digital photography, digital music, and video games. Prediction will create its
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THE NEXT COST CURVE Prediction is about to get very, very cheap. The arithmetic era did not belong to faster bookkeepers. It belonged to digital photography, digital music, and video games. Prediction will create its
Instructions for students Begin with the equation. Do not begin with emotion. Do not begin with whether the person cares. Ask which quotient has or has not resolved to one. \[ Reality = \frac{Actual}{Expected} \]
Continue readingClassroom Exercises: Completion and Attention
— title: "The Storm Must Have All Three" author: "John Rector" format: "classroom lecture" estimated_minutes: 50 status: "draft" — Teaching purpose Students should leave able to: distinguish a condition from a prediction and an Actual
The easiest way to misunderstand AI is to begin with AI. So let us not begin there. Let us begin with completion. A student expects to graduate. For four years, that expectation steals attention. Classes.
Teaching purpose Students should leave able to: Materials Do not begin with slides about AI. Begin with breathing. Opening: Make attention visible — 0 to 7 minutes Spoken script Before we talk about AI, I
Continue readingAbsorption: When Prediction Becomes Reality Without Stealing Attention
Start with a book. Not AI. Not the labor market. Not a debate about whether technology is a bubble or a revolution. Just a book. The Reality Equation gives the book three positions. There is
— title: "What Does a Prediction Machine Manufacture?" author: "John Rector" slug: "what-does-a-prediction-machine-manufacture" description: "A flooring contractor opens the CRM and finds a complete Four Seasons Charleston project that no person entered and no RFP
Companies are struggling with AI for a simple reason. AI predicts. Workers work. We keep buying the first and managing it as though it were the second. That sounds like a small language problem. It
The most common question about artificial intelligence is: What can it automate? Can it write the report? Answer the customer? Analyze the contract? Schedule the meeting? Update the record? Produce the code? These questions matter.
Imagine an e-commerce business processing one hundred orders a day. Almost everything is automated. The store accepts payments. It checks for fraud. It calculates sales tax. It updates inventory. It produces shipping labels. It sends
Continue readingAutomation Gives You a Dashboard. Absorption Takes It Away.