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John Rector

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Tag: Treasury yields

Dark navy cover with the title The Price of Thirty Years in cream serif, the word Thirty in brass italic, and a faint 30Y glyph in the corner.
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The Price of Thirty Years

Posted on September 3, 2026September 3, 2026 jsrector

A three-month bill pays 3.92 percent and a thirty-year bond pays 5.27. The gap is the price of thirty years of trust, and this week the market, the Treasury, and gold all said it is not enough. … readThe Price of Thirty Years

Dark violet cover reading Why the Cars Never Left, with three figures beneath it: a 3.63 percent effective fed funds rate, 8.29 trillion dollars parked in cash, and 21 percent growth since the Fed's first rate cut.
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Why the Cars Never Left

Posted on August 21, 2026September 3, 2026 jsrector

The Federal Reserve cools an economy by making doing nothing pay, raising the hurdle rate every investment must clear. Four years and $8 trillion later, the money is still parked. … readWhy the Cars Never Left

Warm paper-toned cover reading When the Bill Beats the Building, with three figures beneath it: a 4.65 percent ten-year Treasury, a 5.90 percent manufactured housing cap rate, and a 125 basis point spread between them.
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When the Bill Beats the Building

Posted on August 21, 2026September 3, 2026 jsrector

A cap rate is not a property statistic. It is a price set against Treasury yields, and when the spread between them collapses, trillions of dollars migrate out of real estate and values fall on income that never changed. … readWhen the Bill Beats the Building

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