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John Rector

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Tag: stock market

Conceptual diverging paths for hiring, output, and investment in the AI economy; not observed data.
Cat Links Economics

The Hiring Signal Has Changed

Posted on October 3, 2026October 3, 2026 jsrector

Actual hires tell us who joined a payroll; job postings do not. AI makes it more important to distinguish access to work from net employment growth before drawing conclusions about rates, inflation, and stocks. … readThe Hiring Signal Has Changed

Cover for the essay The Error of Starting Small: a large faint circle representing a system sits at the right, with a single small ember dot isolated far from it on the left.
Cat Links Ideation, Reality Equation

The Error of Starting Small

Posted on August 3, 2026 jsrector

Reductionism assumes that smaller means simpler. For relational systems — markets, fields, colonies, languages — the isolated part does not explain the whole. It removes the phenomenon entirely. … readThe Error of Starting Small

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